Monday, December 7, 2009

Third quarter productivity revised downward

Update: The Bureau of Labor Statistics released revised third quarter statistics last week. Getting a lot of press was the eye-popping October 10.2% unemployment rate which declined to 10.0% for November. But the real eye-popper is the fact that Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at an 8.1%  increased at a 9.5 percent annual rate. You have to go all the way back to the third quarter of 2003 to find a better rate of growth (9.7%). I'm no economist, but productivity normally does not increase during a recession. Employers tend to be slow to "downsize" their most valuable employees rendering certain built in inefficiencies of production. But not this time. Over the last year, output increased 4% while hours worked decreased 5% and unit labor costs declined 3.6%. Historical data provided here, and third quarter details and charts here.